Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2933 LANDED 2:24 PM ET, ~13 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

G4 2933 · LEX → PGD

took off 12:37 PM ET · landed 2:24 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ PGD is prone to delays

↓ 12pm departures from LEX are usually not late

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at LEX that day

Weather at each end

LEX (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

PGD (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2933 · LEX → PGD

Odds over time