Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2936
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
G4 2936 · SFB → SGF
departs 3:59 PM ET · arrives 5:29 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at SGF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SGF?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFB
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
SGF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.22 in
SGF (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 6.76667 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.