Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2939 LANDED 8:10 PM ET, ~14 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

G4 2939 · LEX → SFB

took off 6:32 PM ET · landed 8:10 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 34 kt, 1.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SFB that day

↑ This flight has been late 44% of the time recently

↑ Other factors

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ SFB is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

LEX (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

SFB (destination) Gusts34 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.84 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2939 · LEX → SFB

Odds over time