Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2958 LANDED 2:38 AM ET, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

G4 2958 · LCK → SFB

took off 12:57 AM ET · landed 2:38 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 21h after departure

Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LCK

Weather at each end

LCK (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFB (destination) Gusts34 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.84 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2958 · LCK → SFB

Odds over time