Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2972 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

G4 2972 · MDT → MYR

departs 3:10 PM ET · arrives 4:45 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at MYR more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MYR?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at MYR that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into MYR at that hour are often late

↓ MYR usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDT

Weather at each end

MDT (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

MYR (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2972 · MDT → MYR

Odds over time

How late will it get to MYR?