Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2977
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
G4 2977 · SRQ → IND
departs 5:40 PM ET · arrives 8:04 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3
Thu 10/8 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±0 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at IND more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IND?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at SRQ that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
5pm departures from SRQ are often late
↓
SRQ usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IND
Weather at each end
SRQ (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IND (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.