Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3004
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
G4 3004 · IND → SRQ
departs 8:54 PM ET · arrives 11:14 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3
Mon 10/5 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at SRQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SRQ?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SRQ
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↓
IND usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IND
Weather at each end
IND (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SRQ (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.