Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3019 LANDED 8:21 AM ET, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

G4 3019 · SRQ → IND

took off 6:15 AM ET · landed 8:21 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 16h after departure

Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 13% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from SRQ are usually not late

Weather at each end

SRQ (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling3,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IND (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 3019 · SRQ → IND

Odds over time