Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3022
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
G4 3022 · VPS → SDF
departs 2:17 PM CT · arrives 5:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at SDF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SDF?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 1.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at VPS that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 19% of the time recently
↓
VPS usually runs smoothly
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
VPS (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 1.34 in
SDF (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,467 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.