Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3059
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
G4 3059 · PIE → TYS
departs 9:16 PM ET · arrives 10:57 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 56h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3
Wed 10/7 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at TYS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TYS?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PIE
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at TYS that day
↑
9pm departures from PIE are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
TYS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PIE (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.24 in
TYS (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.