Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3073
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
G4 3073 · CAK → VPS
departs 9:44 PM ET · arrives 10:54 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±2 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave CAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at VPS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to VPS?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at VPS that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
VPS usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CAK
Weather at each end
CAK (origin)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
VPS (destination)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling 500 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip 0.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.