Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3118
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
G4 3118 · VPS → XNA
departs 7:03 PM CT · arrives 8:52 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±1 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at XNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to XNA?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at VPS that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↓
VPS usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at XNA
Weather at each end
VPS (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.18 in
XNA (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.