Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3215 LANDED 11:44 AM MT, ~11 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

G4 3215 · IWA → PVU

took off 7:32 PM MSK · landed 11:44 AM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at PVU more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PVU

↓ Arrivals into PVU at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

IWA (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

PVU (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 3215 · IWA → PVU

Odds over time