Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3641 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

G4 3641 · TTN → PIE

departs 12:28 PM ET · arrives 3:12 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PIE?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at PIE that day

↑ TTN is prone to delays

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TTN

Weather at each end

TTN (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling4,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

PIE (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 3641 · TTN → PIE

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIE?