Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 369
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
G4 369 · SFB → CVG
departs 3:28 PM ET · arrives 5:34 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFB
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling 7,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.15 in
CVG (destination)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling 8,000 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.