Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 378
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
G4 378 · CVG → SRQ
departs 5:30 PM ET · arrives 7:43 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Sat 10/3
Wed 10/7 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at SRQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SRQ?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at SRQ that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
CVG usually runs smoothly
↓
SRQ usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
CVG (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 8,667 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.04 in
SRQ (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.30 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.