Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 381
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
G4 381 · SRQ → CVG
departs 8:33 PM ET · arrives 10:48 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SRQ
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG
↓
SRQ usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SRQ (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.12 in
CVG (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.