Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 403
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
G4 403 · CVG → SFB
departs 6:25 PM ET · arrives 8:29 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±4 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into SFB at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CVG (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
SFB (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.