Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 409
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
G4 409 · MYR → CVG
departs 9:58 PM ET · arrives 11:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 17h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.0d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave MYR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at MYR that day
↓
MYR usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG
Weather at each end
MYR (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.26 in
CVG (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.