Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 413 LANDED 8:35 AM ET, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

G4 413 · CVG → PIE

took off 6:46 AM ET · landed 8:35 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 15h after departure

Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at PIE that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into PIE at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

CVG (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PIE (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 413 · CVG → PIE

Odds over time