Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 414
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
G4 414 · SFB → CVG
departs 9:19 PM ET · arrives 11:25 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 23h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.0d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 37% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.13 in
CVG (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.