Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 521
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
G4 521 · PBG → FLL
departs 6:43 PM ET · arrives 10:12 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 46% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave PBG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PBG
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PBG (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 9,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.