Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 56
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
G4 56 · MFE → LAS
departs 1:54 PM CT · arrives 2:54 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Thu 10/1 30%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±5 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave MFE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at MFE that day
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
MFE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MFE (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.69 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.