Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 612
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
G4 612 · SFB → IND
departs 2:33 PM ET · arrives 4:51 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 21h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at IND more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IND?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at SFB that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 19% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IND
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.22 in
IND (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.