Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 855
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
G4 855 · PGD → TOL
departs 3:10 PM ET · arrives 5:41 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at TOL more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TOL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at TOL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TOL?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at PGD that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TOL
↓
TOL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PGD (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 2,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
TOL (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.