Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 870
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
G4 870 · PGD → IAG
departs 4:29 PM ET · arrives 7:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3
Mon 10/5 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAG more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at IAG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAG?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at PGD that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAG
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PGD (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 2,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
IAG (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.