Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 9202 LANDED 12:30 AM ET, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

G4 9202 · PGD → SRQ

took off 12:14 AM ET · landed 12:30 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 22h after departure

Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 12am departures from PGD are usually not late

Weather at each end

PGD (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

SRQ (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling3,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 9202 · PGD → SRQ

Odds over time