Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 9211 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

G4 9211 · SEA → BLI

took off 3:26 PM PT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at BLI more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 3pm departures from SEA are often late

↓ BLI usually runs smoothly

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at BLI that day

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precipnone

BLI (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 9211 · SEA → BLI

Odds over time