Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 956
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
G4 956 · LCK → PGD
departs 9:09 PM ET · arrives 11:39 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 23h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.0d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave LCK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at PGD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PGD?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at PGD that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LCK
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LCK (origin)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 10,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
PGD (destination)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 9,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.