Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 998
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
G4 998 · PSM → PIE
departs 6:48 PM ET · arrives 10:08 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
−13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave PSM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at PIE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIE?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at PIE that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PSM
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PSM (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 5,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PIE (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.