Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3382
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
MQ 3382 · DFW → ACT
departs 4:48 PM CT · arrives 5:38 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 61h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 60%
Fri 10/2 42%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at ACT more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ACT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at ACT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to ACT?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at ACT that day
↑
Other factors
↓
ACT usually runs smoothly
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.35 in
ACT (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.39 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.