Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3384
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 3384 · DFW → AMA
departs 11:23 AM CT · arrives 12:42 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 36%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 13%
Wed 10/7 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at AMA more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±2 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at AMA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to AMA?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
11am departures from DFW are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Arrivals into AMA at that hour are usually not late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.52 in
AMA (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.