Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3393
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
MQ 3393 · ACT → DFW
departs 5:10 AM CT · arrives 6:07 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 70h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 8%
Thu 10/1 28%
Fri 10/2 18%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 8%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave ACT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at ACT that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
5am departures from ACT are usually not late
Weather at each end
ACT (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.16 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.