Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3401
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 3401 · DFW → AUS
departs 7:00 AM CT · arrives 8:04 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 6%
Wed 10/7 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
AUS is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.77 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.