MQ 3404 · DFW → CRP

departs 6:38 PM CT · arrives 8:01 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CRP?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at CRP that day

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.38 in

CRP (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.45 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3404 · DFW → CRP

Odds over time

How late will it get to CRP?