MQ 3407 · DFW → ABI

departs 9:37 AM CT · arrives 10:39 AM CT

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at ABI more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ABI?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at DFW that day

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at ABI that day

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ ABI usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into ABI at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.30 in

ABI (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3407 · DFW → ABI

Odds over time

How late will it get to ABI?