MQ 3415 · ILM → DFW

took off 7:11 AM ET · landed 8:47 AM CT (scheduled 7:04 AM ET → 9:18 AM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DFW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from ILM are usually not late

Weather at each end

ILM (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.47 in

DFW (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.31 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3415 · ILM → DFW

Odds over time

How late did it get to DFW?