Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3432
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
MQ 3432 · DFW → ICT
departs 10:30 PM CT · arrives 11:51 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3
Fri 10/9 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
47%
chance · ±0 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
47%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.1d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at ICT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ICT?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
10pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ICT
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.22 in
ICT (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.