MQ 3437 · DFW → MLU

departs 9:13 PM CT · arrives 10:28 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at MLU more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MLU?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
6%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ MLU usually runs smoothly

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.23 in

MLU (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.12 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3437 · DFW → MLU

Odds over time

How late will it get to MLU?