MQ 3448 · ORD → GRB

departs 6:54 PM CT · arrives 8:07 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at GRB more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GRB?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at GRB

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ GRB usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GRB (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3448 · ORD → GRB

Odds over time

How late will it get to GRB?