Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3467
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
MQ 3467 · CLL → DFW
departs 6:31 PM CT · arrives 7:49 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 56%
Fri 10/2 41%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 13%
Wed 10/7 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±4 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave CLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
CLL usually runs smoothly
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CLL (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.42 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.35 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.