Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3468
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 3468 · DFW → CLL
departs 8:20 AM CT · arrives 9:23 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 10%
Tue 10/6 7%
Wed 10/7 7%
Thu 10/8 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLL more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at CLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to CLL?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at CLL that day
↓
Arrivals into CLL at that hour are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.52 in
CLL (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.38 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.