Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3473
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 3473 · CID → DFW
departs 5:17 AM CT · arrives 7:34 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 17%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 7%
Wed 10/7 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±3 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.3d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave CID more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
CID is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CID
Weather at each end
CID (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.77 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.