MQ 3484 · CMI → ORD

took off 7:04 PM CT · landed 7:38 PM CT (scheduled 6:44 PM CT → 8:00 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ORD?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMI

Weather at each end

CMI (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3484 · CMI → ORD

Odds over time

How late did it get to ORD?