Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3525
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
MQ 3525 · COU → DFW
departs 6:55 AM CT · arrives 8:50 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 64%
Fri 10/2 37%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 9%
Wed 10/7 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave COU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,200 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
COU is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at COU
Weather at each end
COU (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.35 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.