Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3532
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 3532 · FWA → DFW
departs 7:39 PM ET · arrives 9:20 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 54%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 14%
Wed 10/7 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±4 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave FWA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FWA
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
FWA (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.