MQ 3536 · DFW → MGM

took off 11:05 AM CT · landed 12:24 PM CT (scheduled 10:06 AM CT → 12:06 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at MGM more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MGM?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MGM

↑ 10am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MGM usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.22 in

MGM (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3536 · DFW → MGM

Odds over time

How late did it get to MGM?