Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3539
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 3539 · DFW → GPT
departs 9:12 AM CT · arrives 10:54 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 12%
Mon 10/5 10%
Tue 10/6 9%
Wed 10/7 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at GPT more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±3 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GPT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at GPT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to GPT?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.9 in of rain forecast at GPT that day
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Arrivals into GPT at that hour are usually not late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling 400 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip 0.52 in
GPT (destination)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling 400 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 1.89 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.