MQ 3541 · DFW → MAF

departs 8:35 PM CT · arrives 9:53 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MAF?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at MAF that day

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.25 in

MAF (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3541 · DFW → MAF

Odds over time

How late will it get to MAF?