Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3542
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 3542 · GPT → DFW
departs 7:43 PM CT · arrives 9:39 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 47%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±4 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave GPT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 2.5 in of rain forecast at GPT that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
GPT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
GPT (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 2.51 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.61 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.